1. Andre Johnson – Houston Texans – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 164

2011 Projections: 105 receptions, 1500 yards, 9 TD’s

2011 Points: 204

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Very Low

Analysis:

Andre Johnson was a beast again last year, although he did let fantasy owners down in the playoffs, and should remain the #1 ranked fantasy WR. Andre Johnson is sometimes labelled injury prone but the truth is he has only missed 13 games in his 8 year career. He’s been remarkably consistent and there are no signs of him slowing down anytime soon.

2. Hakeem Nicks – New York Giants – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 165

2011 Projections: 95 receptions, 1280 yards, 11 TD’s

2011 Points: 194

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Nicks is a stud and should put up monster numbers this year. The problem is, he’s a bit injury prone. He hasn’t played a full 16 games yet in his brief NFL career. It’s pretty concerning but last year he dominated while still missing 3 games. He’s the go to guy in that offense and with Steve Smith possibly missing some time, it just adds to Nicks’ value.

3. Miles Austin – Dallas Cowboys – Bye Week 5

2010 Points:  150

2011 Projections: 85 receptions, 1320 yards, 10 TD’s

2011 Points: 192

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

Austin’s numbers suffered last year as a result of Tony Romo’s injury. In his breakout year he could have easily reached over 100 catches if he started every game. That’s the potential we are talking about here. I don’t think he’ll get that high with the addition of Dez Bryant, but he’ll still put up  great numbers.

4. Roddy White – Atlanta Falcons – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 193

2011 Projections: 95 receptions, 1350 yards, 9 TD’s

2011 Points: 189

Injury Risk: Very Low
Bust Potential: Very Low

Analysis:

The addition of Julio Jones doesn’t really hurt Roddy’s value. He may take away some redzone looks but Roddy is still the man in Atlanta. The Falcons are probably going to stretch the field out more this year and Roddy’s average yard per catch should go back up to where it was for most of his career. He’s incredibly consistent though and won’t disappoint fantasy owners. Don’t let Julio Jones cloud your judgement.

5. Calvin Johnson – Detroit Lions – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 182

2011 Projections: 80 receptions, 1200 yards, 11 TD’s

2011 Points: 186

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

If only Stafford can stay healthy. That’s really the only thing holding Calvin back. He’s played with sub-par QB’s his whole career and has still produced. The Lions offense figures to be more explosive this year. Titus Young should free up Calvin some more and if Stafford can stay healthy he can finally develop that good rapport with him. Calvin always seems to be banged up but he’s a warrior and has played through numerous injuries with no ill effects. The guy is a beast.

6. Greg Jennings – Green Bay Packers – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 193

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 1250 yards, 10 TD’s

2011 Points: 185

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

Greg Jennings had a career year last year and he’s now in his prime. His great numbers should continue especially with Aaron Rodgers under center. The only thing that could damage his numbers is the return of Finley, but I wouldn’t worry about that.

7. Mike Wallace – Pittsburgh Steelers – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 182

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 1200 yards, 9 TD’s, 40 rushing yards

2011 Points: 178

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Mike Wallace came out of nowhere last year and was one of the top fantasy WR’s. His 21.0 YPC was outstanding and he also caught 10 TD’s. I don’t think he’ll have the same success as last year, but he’ll still be very good. He’s unknown, so that’s the risk. We don’t know if he is injury prone, if that was a fluke year etc. He has a lot of potential though, especially if he keeps up his average.

8. Larry Fitzgerald – Arizona Cardinals – Bye Week 6

2010 Points: 146

2011 Projections: 95 receptions, 1250 yards, 8 TD’s

2011 Points: 173

Injury Risk: Very Low
Bust Potential: Very Low

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Kolb will be throwing Fitz the ball so I think these numbers are fair.

Drafting Fitzgerald is always a safe bet. Even with some of the worst starting QB’s in the league last year, Fitz still put up 146 fantasy points. His 6 TD catches hurt him, but that should improve this year. We’ll have to see who will throw him the ball. If he can still be a fantasy starter with Max Hall and John Skelton under center, I’m not worried about him.

9. Jeremy Maclin – Philadelphia Eagles – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 149

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 1020 yards, 9 TD’s, 30 rushing yards

2011 Points: 159

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

I like Jeremy Maclin more than DeSean Jackson in real life, and maybe even in fantasy. Maclin is more consistent, level-headed, and a better redzone target than Jackson. Sure, Jackson is the highlight reel guy but I’d take Maclin on my team any day. This should be his best year yet.

10. Reggie Wayne – Indianapolis Colts – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 162

2011 Projections: 95 receptions, 1150 yards, 7 TD’s

2011 Points: 157

Injury Risk: Very Low
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

I thought Reggie Wayne would regress last year but instead he set a career high with 111 catches. Reggie Wayne continues to impress into his 30′s and he should continue to produce. His average has gone down because he’s lost a step but he’s still good for a lot of targets from Peyton. If you want a consistent starter, he’s your guy.

11. Vincent Jackson – San Diego Chargers – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 42

2011 Projections: 60 receptions, 1050 yards, 8 TD’s

2011 Points: 153

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

These projections are assuming Vincent Jackson remains in San Diego which is no safe bet. Jackson is one of the best deep receivers in the game. We know what to expect out of him and that puts a smile on fantasy owners faces. He’s not a PPR threat but he will consistently bring down deep ball after deep ball and be on his way to another 1000 yard season.

12. Marques Colston – New Orleans Saints – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 138

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 1050 yards, 8 TD’s

2011 Points: 153

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Colston is about as consistent as you can get at WR but every year people are turned off by him. There is cause for concern but how long can we continue to doubt him. He has been banged up and he had his 5th knee surgery this off-season which isn’t good to hear but he’s only missed a significant part of the season once in his 5 year career. He also plays for the Saints who love to spread the ball around. His YPC dropped last year but it should be back up this year. The Saints will run the ball a lot more and that should open Colston up down field. I can’t go against him and he’s a solid WR #2 option.

13. DeSean Jackson – Philadelphia Eagles – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 152

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 1000 yards, 6 TD’s, 110 rushing yards, 1 TD

2011 Points: 153

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

DeSean Jackson had a frustrating year in 2010. He would look brilliant one game and then disappear the next. Combine that with his childish attitude and he’s a bit of a risk. When he’s focused, he produces, but there will be times where he pouts and can frustrate the hell out of fantasy owners. I expect Vick to have another good year, so Jackson will get his fair share of deep balls. Defenses zeroed in on him last year and took him out of his game. They may be able to do that again this year.

14. Mario Manningham – New York Giants – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 142

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 1050 yards, 8 TD’s

2011 Points: 153

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Steve Smith is struggling with injuries right now. He will likely start the season on the PUP list which will mean that Manningham gets to start again. Manningham was inconsistent at times last year but when he started he produced. He should get over 1000 yards this year and with his big play ability he could take it to the house whenever he gets the ball in his hands.

15. Brandon Marshall – Miami Dolphins – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: 112

2011 Projections: 100 receptions, 1150 yards, 6 TD’s

2011 Points: 151

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

Brandon Marshall is another guy who is labelled a fantasy bust, but is he really? Sure he only caught 3 TD passes last year but you have to believe that’s a fluke. He’s never been a TD king but even 3 was too low for him. He also missed 2 games last year and still caught 86 passes for over 1000 yards. If he gets a mediocre 6 TD catches and stays healthy the whole year, he’s a bargain #2 WR as he will undoubtedly be drafted lower than he should be.

16. Dez Bryant – Dallas Cowboys – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: 98

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 950 yards, 9 TD’s

2011 Points: 149

Injury Risk: High
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Dez Bryant is a beast and people will stay away because of his off-field issues. Don’t be that guy. Pounce all over this guy as he’ll be a steal. He’s committed to becoming a great football player. Don’t confuse his stupidity off the field with his heart and hunger for the game. He’ll put it all on the line to win and he will be better this year. He has a ton of upside.

17. Mike Williams – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 151

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 1000 yards, 8 TD’s

2011 Points: 148

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Mike Williams has a lot of potential this year. He put up outstanding numbers as a rookie but there are a lot of question marks as well. We only have 1 year to go off of so there is still some risk involved. I doubt he repeats his 11 TD performance as the Bucs should run the ball a lot more in 2011 with Blount, especially near the goal line. Still, it’s hard to imagine he will regress much, if at all, and I think he is more than capable of breaking 1000 yards.

18. Santonio Holmes – New York Jets – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 102

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 1000 yards, 8 TD’s

2011 Points: 148

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

The Jets don’t pass much but when they do Holmes will be the #1 target on most plays. He is also a great redzone option as he caught 6 TD passes in only 12 games last year. You have to imagine Sanchez will improve as well so Holmes should be in for a solid year.

19. Dwayne Bowe – Kansas City Chiefs – Bye Week 6

2010 Points: 200

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 1000 yards, 8 TD’s

2011 Points: 148

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Very High

Analysis:

I’m not a big fan of Matt Cassel and I think last year was a fluke. That of course has an impact on Bowe as well. He’s talented but his QB isn’t. I think there is no way he comes close to matching last years numbers. That said, he’s still a solid option but there is more downside than upside so draft carefully.

20. Wes Welker – New England Patriots – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 121

2011 Projections: 100 receptions, 1050 yards, 6 TD’s, 30 rushing yards

2011 Points: 144

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

Wes Welker had a down year last year for several reasons. First of all he suffered a torn ACL and returned extremely early thus he may have not been 100% the whole season. Second he led the league in drops. That’s uncharacteristic of him and it’s most likely a fluke. The main thing however could be that Randy Moss was gone and the Patriots did not find a suitable replacement. This made Welker the go-to-guy in the offense. Defenses keyed in on him more last season and that could be why his numbers fell. He should bounce back this year and catch his usual 100+ passes.

21. Austin Collie – Indianapolis Colts – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 107

2011 Projections: 80 receptions, 900 yards, 9 TD’s

2011 Points: 144

Injury Risk: Very High
Bust Potential: Very High

Analysis:

Austin Collie is a great receiver but the concussions are really hurting his career. Last year he caught 58 passes in essentially 8 games. He was on pace for well over 100 catches and that is not out of the question if he can stay healthy this year. Take note PPR players. He’s also a favorite of Manning in the endzone as he’s caught 15 TD passes in his 2 years in the league. He’s got a ton of potential but the injury concerns are huge.

22. Brandon Lloyd – Denver Broncos – Bye Week 6

2010 Points: 203

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 1050 yards, 6 TD’s

2011 Points: 141

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Ok, so Lloyd came out of nowhere to lead the league in receiving yards last year. Was that a product of McDaniels’ system? I can’t imagine he will go back to what he was before. Even with Tebow under center Lloyd produced but you really have to wonder. Really? Is he really that good? His numbers will probably drop, but honestly, he should still be pretty good.

23. Steve Johnson – Buffalo Bills – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 157

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 980 yards, 7 TD’s

2011 Points: 140

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

There is potential for a lot of downside here. Steve Johnson burst onto the scene last year and was phenomenal but let’s not get carried away. It was just one year, and Ryan Fitzpatrick isn’t exactly Peyton Manning. Steve Johnson also had some horrific drops and the Bills want to get Lee Evans more involved. There’s more things pointing to him regressing than improving on his numbers. He’s a solid option, but be careful not to over-draft him.

24. Percy Harvin – Minnesota Vikings – Bye Week 9

2010 Points: 132

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 940 yards, 5 TD’s, 120 rushing yards

2011 Points: 136

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

I didn’t think the QB affected Harvin’s production so while McNabb is an upgrade over Ponder, Harvin should have similar numbers.

You may think that Christian Ponder starting at QB will hurt Harvin’s production. I went back and looked at the games that Joe Webb started (let’s assume he’s a worse passer than Ponder) and Harvin caught 20 passes in those last 3 games of the year. Sure, he won’t catch 100 balls but he will still be a vital part of the offense. He also claims his migraine problems are behind him so things are looking good for Harvin.

25. Lance Moore – New Orleans Saints – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 114

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 870 yards, 8 TD’s

2011 Points: 132

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

The key to Lance Moore success is… Reggie Bush. Yup. With Reggie Bush out of the lineup Lance Moore thrives. Well, there’s talk about the Saints cutting Reggie Bush straight up. Good news for Lance Moore. If Bush does get cut, Moore is a major sleeper.

26. Anquan Boldin – Baltimore Ravens – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: 116

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 900 yards, 7 TD’s

2011 Points: 132

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

Boldin struggled last year in the Ravens offense. It was his first year working with Flacco so there chemistry should get better. However, the potential just isn’t really there. The Ravens don’t throw that much and Flacco is not an elite QB. Unless Flacco takes the next step to becoming a great QB and the Ravens offense opens up their air attack, Boldin’s value is limited.

27. Mike Thomas – Jacksonville Jaguars – Bye Week 9

2010 Points: 108

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 900 yards, 4 TD’s, 100 rushing yards

2011 Points: 124

Injury Risk: High
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Not only is Thomas the teams #1 WR but he is also going to be their primary KR. This isn’t all good as his injury risk just went up.

Mike Thomas is a bit of a PPR sleeper. He should catch a lot of balls in Jacksonville albeit with a low YPC. Even if Gabbert starts I’m confident his numbers won’t change much. He’s not a TD threat but he’ll give you a steady supply of receptions week in and week out.

28. Julio Jones – Atlanta Falcons – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: N/A

2011 Projections: 60 receptions, 780 yards, 7 TD’s

2011 Points: 120

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Julio Jones has looked very good in camp and the Falcons will try to get him the ball a lot. I bumped up his reception totals.

Julio Jones is very talented but he won’t make much of a fantasy impact. He will still play second fiddle to Roddy White. He will make Michael Jenkins expendable but he is still just a rookie. I expect Jenkins-like numbers with maybe a few extra TD’s.

29. Roy Williams – Chicago Bears – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 76

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 750 yards, 7 TD’s

2011 Points: 117

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Roy Williams is now the primary WR in Chicago. He’ll get a lot of looks, especially in the redzone. He actually has a lot of upside in this offense so he’s worth a late round flier.

30. Pierre Garcon – Indianapolis Colts – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 109

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 830 yards, 5 TD’s

2011 Points: 113

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

With Collie, Clark and Gonzalez all being healthy, Garcon’s numbers should drop. His reception total will take a hit but he’ll be freed up deep down field where he will do damage. While Collie and Clark work the short routes, Garcon will be padding his YPC going deep.

31. Steve Smith – Carolina Panthers – Bye Week 9

2010 Points: 57

2011 Projections: 65 receptions, 850 yards, 4 TD’s, 30 rushing yards

2011 Points: 112

Injury Risk: High
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Cam Newton can’t be much worse than Clausen so Steve Smith’s numbers should go up. It’s not to say he will be a beast or anything since he’s 32 years old and past his prime. I doubt he returns to his form from 3 years ago so there isn’t much upside here.

32. Chad Ochocinco – New England Patritos – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 100

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 750 yards, 6 TD’s

2011 Points: 111

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Ochocinco finds himself in a much better situation in New England as opposed to Cincinnati. He won’t be amazing but he’ll get consistent targets in a pass happy offense with one of the best QB’s in the game. He’ll produce.

33. Jacoby Ford – Oakland Raiders – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 95

2011 Projections: 45 receptions, 770 yards, 3 TD’s, 100 rushing yards, 1 KR TD

2011 Points: 111

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Jacoby Ford is very talented and he proved how dangerous he can be last season. If he becomes a starter this year he should easily log over 40+ receptions even based on his numbers from last year. He will undoubtedly get better and will also be used more in the offense. Don’t expect an amazing season but he does have a lot of upside.

34. Kenny Britt – Tennessee Titans – Bye Week 6

2010 Points: 126

2011 Projections: 50 receptions, 750 yards, 6 TD’s

2011 Points: 111

Injury Risk: High
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Kenny Britt had some great games last year but he’s wildly inconsistent. Throw in the fact that he will have rookie Jake Locker throwing to him most of the season and his value goes down even further. Oh and if that wasn’t enough, he’ll also probably be suspended a few games because of his actions off the field during the lockout.

35. Davone Bess – Miami Dolphins – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: 100

2011 Projections: 75 receptions, 780 yards, 4 TD’s

2011 Points: 102

Injury Risk: Very Low
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Davone Bess has managed to be consistent despite dealing with shaky QB’s. If Henne remains the starter we can except a similar year from him but if the Dolphins acquire a better QB via trade or FA, Bess could be a sleeper. He could easily catch 90+ passes which would make him a must own in PPR leagues.

36. Braylon Edwards – San Francisco 49ers – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 124

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 720 yards, 5 TD’s

2011 Points: 102

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Edwards will be the #1 in San Fran but they still don’t pass enough to make him a big fantasy producer.

37. Emmanuel Sanders – Pittsburgh Steelers – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 42

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 770 yards, 4 TD’s

2011 Points: 101

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Sanders suffered an injury but he should be back in time for the 2nd pre-season game. I still expect him to be the Steelers #3 WR once the season starts.

Emmanuel Sanders showed flashes at times last year and should be more involved in the offense in his 2nd year. Hines Ward is regressing and will lose some snaps to the younger and quicker Sanders. 50 receptions is a modest projection and he has the potential to easily surpass that. Keep an eye out on him.

38. James Jones – Green Bay Packers – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 90

2011 Projections: 50 receptions, 700 yards, 5 TD’s

2011 Points: 100

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

James Jones re-signed. It’s probably the best situation for him in the NFL, but not so much for fantasy. He’ll have to fight for targets and I can’t see him improving much on his numbers from last season.

39. Devin Hester – Chicago Bears – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 84

2011 Projections: 50 receptions, 650 yards, 4 TD’s, 50 rushing yards, 1 KR TD

2011 Points: 100

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Hester is listed as a starter ahead of both Knox and Bennett. It seems like this year is the year they want to get him more involved. We hear this every year though so I’m not surprised if you’re skeptical.

40. Sidney Rice – Seattle Seahawks – Bye Week 6

2010 Points: 38

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 700 yards, 5 TD’s

2011 Points: 100

Injury Risk: High
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Not exactly a great situation in Seattle for Sidney Rice. His upside is limited because of his QB play.

41. Michael Crabtree – San Francisco 49ers – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 103

2011 Projections: 50 receptions, 670 yards, 5 TD’s

2011 Points: 97

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Looks like Braylon Edwards will be the #1 in San Fran which hurts Crabtree’s value a bit.

Crabtree has yet to breakout in his short NFL career and he likely won’t this year either. The 49ers plan to run run and then run some more. It also doesn’t help that Alex Smith is still the teams #1 signal caller. He’s just in a bad situation and has limited upside.

42. Hines Ward – Pittsburgh Steelers – Bye Week 11

2010 Points: 96

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 670 yards, 5 TD’s

2011 Points: 97

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Ward is approaching the end of his career so it’s no surprise that last year was his worst in quite some time. He’ll still be used, primarily on 3rd down and in the redzone, but he’s lost his fantasy value and offers little upside.

43. Torrey Smith – Baltimore Ravens – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: N/A

2011 Projections: 50 receptions, 650 yards, 5 TD’s

2011 Points: 95

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Very High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Torrey Smith will be starting for the Ravens this year. He was really raw coming out of college so it will be interesting to see how he performs when he is forced into a starting role. I’ll have to keep an eye on him in pre-season but if he starts, he’ll get his targets no matter what.

44. Andre Roberts – Arizona Cardinals – Bye Week 6

2010 Points: 41

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 700 yards, 4 TD’s

2011 Points: 94

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Andre Roberts is no doubt a sleeper heading into this season. He’ll be the #2 WR in Arizona playing opposite of Larry Fitzgerald. The Cardinals brought in Kolb as well which is an upgrade so Roberts should be in for a fine season with a lot of upside.

45. A.J. Green – Cincinnati Bengals – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: N/A

2011 Projections: 60 receptions, 700 yards, 4 TD’s

2011 Points: 94

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

I’m not big on either of the top 2 rookie receivers. A.J. Green is the go-to-guy by default for the Bengals. The problem is his QB. Andy Dalton is not a great QB and lacks a strong arm. His game will probably mostly consist of check downs and short routes. They will feed Green the ball but his YPC will be low. Don’t count on too many TD’s either.

46. Louis Murphy – Oakland Raiders – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 67

2011 Projections: 45 receptions, 680 yards, 4 TD’s

2011 Points: 92

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Louis Murphy will start again for the Raiders. The offense will limit him but he’s a solid bet for targets. He’s a good bye week filler.

47. Mike Williams – Seattle Seahawks – Bye Week 6

2010 Points: 80

2011 Projections: 55 receptions, 650 yards, 4 TD’s

2011 Points: 89

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Sidney Rice killed Mike Williams’ value. There are just not enough targets to go around in that offense, especially with Tarvaris Jackson/Charlie Whitehurst starting.

Mike Williams was a nice story last year and he proved that with the right mindset he could succeed in the NFL. He missed a few games last year and it was his first year back so his numbers should be better this year. His 2 TD catches also seem to be a fluke as that number should be higher.

48. Danny Amendola – St. Louis Rams – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: 83

2011 Projections: 70 receptions, 600 yards, 4 TD’s

2011 Points: 84

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Although the Rams added a ton of receiving option this year, Amendola will still play a vital role in the offense. Josh McDaniels likes to use the slot WR (Welker, Royal) so Amendola will still get a lot of targets. His YPC is poor though and he won’t get many TD’s. He’s only got upside in PPR leagues.

49. Jordy Nelson – Green Bay Packers – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 58

2011 Projections: 50 receptions, 650 yards, 3 TD’s

2011 Points: 83

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

James Jones re-signed so once again they will be hurting each others value. Not to mention that Finley will be back and the Packers drafted Randall Cobb. The WR corp is very crowded in Green Bay.

James Jones is likely to be gone and Donald Driver is really starting to show his age. Nelson figures to get a lot of looks in Green Bay’s passing attack. He caught 45 passes last year and that was while playing behind Jones. His numbers should easily improve and he has a lot of upside.

50. Jordan Shipley – Cincinnati Bengals – Bye Week 7

2010 Points: 71

2011 Projections: 60 receptions, 650 yards, 3 TD’s

2011 Points: 83

Injury Risk: Medium
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

It’s hard to get excited about Shipley with Andy Dalton as his QB. Shipley had a fine rookie year but his QB play will be bad this year. He’ll run a lot of short routes so his reception total may rise but his yard per catch will still be in the 10-11 range. He’s also not much of a redzone target.

51. Kevin Ogletree – Dallas Cowboys – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: 3

2011 Projections: 40 receptions, 550 yards, 4 TD’s

2011 Points: 79

Injury Risk: High
Bust Potential: Medium

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

I really liked Ogletree coming out of college and now he’ll get his chances. He’s slated to be the #3 WR in the Cowboys offense and will essentially take over Roy Williams’ targets. He’s got a lot of upside so keep an eye on him.

52. Mohamed Massaquoi – Cleveland Browns – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: 58

2011 Projections: 45 receptions, 550 yards, 3 TD’s

2011 Points: 73

Injury Risk: Very High
Bust Potential: Very High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

I liked Massaquoi going into this season but not so much anymore. He’s hurt and its the type of injury that could slow him down all year. He’s just in a bad offense with an unproven QB so it’s hard to get excited about him.

53. Johnny Knox – Chicago Bears – Bye Week 8

2010 Points: 117

2011 Projections: 35 receptions, 500 yards, 3 TD’s

2011 Points: 68

Injury Risk: Low
Bust Potential: Low

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Knox has been demoted. I have no clue why but he is now the #3 WR and possibly even the #4 behind Earl Bennett. Fantasy value = crushed.

Knox won’t put up great numbers since he doesn’t log many receptions and works primarily as a deep threat for Cutler. He should push 1000 yards but that depends on how involved he is in the offense. The Bears want to give Earl Bennett more chances but Knox figures to play the same role.

54. Greg Little – Cleveland Browns – Bye Week 5

2010 Points: N/A

2011 Projections: 40 receptions, 450 yards, 3 TD’s

2011 Points: 63

Injury Risk: High
Bust Potential: Very High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Greg Little is going into pre-season as the Browns #1 WR. The problem is he has struggled mightily with drops in practice. Those thinking he could surprise and will have a big year and probably going to be wrong. He’s not worth drafting.

55. Jerheme Urban – Kansas City Chiefs – Bye Week 6

2010 Points: 0

2011 Projections: 40 receptions, 450 yards, 3 TD’s

2011 Points: 63

Injury Risk: High
Bust Potential: High

Analysis:

Update Aug. 9:

Yes, the Chiefs are starting Urban. You might remember him from his days as the #4 WR in Arizona. He wasn’t bad, but he wasn’t great either. He’ll get a decent amount of targets but Cassel isn’t a prolific passer and he’ll likely be the 4th read behind Bowe, Breaston and Moeaki.

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